Articles
Active Investors in Small-cap and non-US Markets Outperformed Popular Index Funds
Over the past decade many investors abandoned actively traded mutual funds and separately managed accounts in favor of lower cost passive strategies. Morningstar recently estimated that passive funds make up 38% of the global market. The motivation for this shift stems from the belief that
A tough run for the Ivys?
University endowments report their investment performance on a June 30 fiscal year-end. With the market declines last year, the 2022 performance, which tracked July 1, 2021 through June 30, 2022, reflected the double-digit declines of both the equity and bond markets. The largest university endowments
Russia’s Ukraine Invasion will Accelerate Deglobalization and Increase Inflation Risks
Russia invaded Ukraine this week in the largest European military action since World War Two. At this point, Putin’s goal looks to be overthrowing the democratically elected government and installing a puppet regime, like that which ruled the country before the 2014 Revolution. While Russia
The Beginning of the End?
With the election results and positive vaccine news, investors now possess a clearer picture of the next few years. A Biden victory, without the predicted ‘Blue Wave’ giving the Democrats dominance in the Senate, reduces the likelihood of major policy changes. A smaller fiscal stimulus may be the first change. The Democrats had planned on
The End of the Beginning
Now this is not the end. It is not even the beginning of the end. But it is, perhaps, the end of the beginning. Winston Churchill Equity markets continue to rally as the COVID-19 pandemic in the US and Europe appears to be peaking. After
Update on Market Volatility
The last several weeks have seen historic moves in the markets. Large swings, up and down, within a single day have challenged some of the steadiest of investors. This week’s headlines include a 100% probability of a recession within the next 12 months. The fiscal
The Panic Begins
Panic selling began in the equity markets this week as the scope of the COVID-19 pandemic continued to grow. When we pointed out the emergence of the virus as an economic risk back in January, hope remained that it could be contained. Now, we face
Markets Begin to Price in the Risks of a Pandemic
2020 began with global markets for stocks and other risky assets priced for Global equity markets woke up to the economic risks posed by the coronavirus outbreak, with the S&P 500 declining over 10% from its peak through yesterday. Foreign stocks fared slightly better with